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Explosive hurricane forecast predicts over 20 named hurricane storms for 2024 season 

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is shaping up to be one of the most active on record. Expected to begin in less than two months, It has been reported that meteorologists could run out of names for hurricanes and tropical storms. Experts are predicting a significant increase in tropical storm and hurricane activity compared to recent years, with the potential for a record-breaking number of named storms.

AccuWeather is forecasting between 20 and 25 named storms in the Atlantic basin this year, with 8 to 12 of those strengthening into hurricanes and 4 to 7 becoming major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale.135 This would far exceed the 30-year average of 14 named storms per season.

The primary driver behind the heightened forecast is the expected transition from an El Niño pattern to a La Niña pattern in the Pacific Ocean. La Niña conditions typically suppress wind shear over the Atlantic, allowing more storms to develop and intensify.124 Additionally, sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico are running well above average, providing ample fuel for tropical systems.135

“All indications are pointing toward a very active and potentially explosive Atlantic hurricane season in 2024,” said AccuWeather lead hurricane forecaster Alex DaSilva. “There is a 10 to 15 percent chance of 30 or more named storms this year, which would break the record set in 2020.”5

Forecasters acknowledge the validity of AccuWeather’s prediction but cautioned away from sensationalism, wanting to wait until other weather forecast institutes such as Colorado State University and National Hurricane Centre (NHC) forecasters to release their predictions, which is expected to be sometime this month. They also caution that the exact track and intensity of storms can be difficult to predict, even in an active season.

The 2024 hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, but some forecasters warn that tropical activity could begin earlier than usual due to the warm ocean temperatures. Residents and businesses in vulnerable areas are advised to review their hurricane preparedness plans and stay vigilant for updates from local authorities as the season approaches.

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Environment

Ministers Discuss Environmental Challenges

Collaborative approaches to address environmental challenges were recently discussed by Barbados’ Minister of the Environment and National Beautification, Green and Blue Economy, Adrian Forde, and other regional Ministers of Environment.

The Ministers participated in the United Nations Special Session of the Forum of Ministers of Environment and the One Planet Network Forum, which were both held in Brazil.

Mr. Forde highlighted the regional SOILCARE project, as an effective example of the ways under which synergies in the region could be achieved, and he served as moderator for one of the ‘Deep Dive’ sessions, which examined priorities to address land degradation in the region.

The Minister also addressed the need for ecosystem restoration and protection, noting that “threats to ecosystems are exacerbated by the vagaries of climate change and land degradation”. 

In addition, he emphasised “the importance of protecting genetic resources, their associated intellectual property, and the inclusion of vulnerable people in the fight against environmental degeneration”. 

Sustaining the circular economy, as a model of consumption and production, was the focal point of discussion at the One Planet Network Forum.(PR/GIS)

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Environment

Commendable Prizes For First Home Garden Competition Winners

Three winners emerged victorious in the first ever Home Garden Competition held by the Ministry of the Environment and National Beautification, Green and Blue Economy.

The garden enthusiasts recently walked away with hefty prizes for their hard work, following the prize-giving ceremony at the National Botanical Gardens, Waterford, St. Michael.

WINNERS

They were first place winner Greta Collymore from St. Philip, who received the grand prize of $6,500; second place winner, Margaret Headley from St. Peter, who won $4,500, while third place winner, Colleen Hall-Crawford from St. John, took home $3,500.

The trio received trophies along with their monetary wins.

The brainchild of the Ministry, the competition was acclaimed by Minister Adrian Forde as underscoring the significance of green initiatives, in enhancing Barbados’ beauty and elevating environmental health.

“The Ministry is pushing for all these beautification efforts. We have also started to clean up our gullies. You’ve heard about the tree planting drive where we have planted over 500,000 trees since the Prime Minister made the announcement. All these things we are doing collectively as a government and as a caring society,” said Minister Forde.

CREATIVITY ABOUNDED

Meanwhile, National Tree Planting Coordinator, Dewyn Phillips, spoke of the imaginative creations seen in the gardens of the participants. “Some had terracing designs. Some had semi circles. Some had triangular designs. Some had the map of Barbados in the hedge. Some had a display of what looked like a dinosaur, with the hedging of their designs.

They were imaginative and they were creative. You’ll be pleased to know that these gardens had no diseases at all. That showed as an example of the care that they received from the competitors,” stressed Mr. Phillips. 

Judging criteria for the Home Garden Competition included Visibility and Appeal; Design and Arrangement; Free of Weeds and Decay; Healthy Growth of Plants/Disease Free and Variety of Flowering Plants. (PR/GIS)

CAPTION: Minister of the Environment and National Beautification, Green and Blue Economy, Adrian Forde, presenting an award to first place winner of the first ever Home Garden Competition, Greta Collymore of St.Philip

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Environment

Barbados Moving To Reduce Effect Of Plastics On Environment

Barbados is moving full steam ahead to drastically reduce the effect of plastics on the environment, over the next 10 years, through the National Action Plan to End Plastics Pollution, which was launched yesterday at Warrens Tower II.

Minister of the Environment and National Beautification, Green and Blue Economy, Adrian Forde, who addressed the launch, gave the assurance that legislation on single-use, petrol based plastics was coming. 

He disclosed that approximately “500 tons of single-use plastics are sold every month, and they are distributed not only into our landfills but, unfortunately, across the length and breadth of our country”.

The National Action Plan to End Plastics Pollution incorporates five key policy interventions, which are considered to have maximum impact in the fight against plastics pollution.

These key strategies involve the phasing out of single-use plastic bottles, by integrating the installation of water refill points; gradually eliminating single-use plastic bags; and the removal of other single-use plastic items, such as takeaway food containers, straws, and lids. 

They also include the implementation of ‘Extended Producer Responsibility’, which will drive source separation when national recycling is started, and the use of downstream measures, such as enhanced on-the-go and bulk waste collections, together with improved enforcement against illegal dumping and littering. 

In the environmental, health battle against plastics, Minister Forde also encouraged “a sense of ownership of our country to ensure that we do the right thing for other generations to come”. (PR/GIS)

Caption: Minister of the Environment and National Beautification, Adrian Forde, and Executive Director of Common Seas, Dr. Charlotte Davies looking over the National Action Plan to End Plastics Pollution, during its launch at Warrens Tower II while Permanent Secretary, Ministry Minister of the Environment and National Beautification, Yolande Howard and Waste Management Coordinator Project Management Coordination Unit, Thora Lorde, look on

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